|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]李颜娟,叶弘.收费公路总量控制分析[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2007,9(01):12-16.
　LI Yan-juan,YE Hong.Matrix analysis for toll road restriction on total volume[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2007,9(01):12-16.
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《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第9卷
期数:
2007年01期
页码:
12-16
栏目:
交通运输经济与管理
出版日期:
2007-03-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Matrix analysis for toll road restriction on total volume
作者:
李颜娟; 叶弘
湖北工业大学土木工程与建筑学院,湖北武汉　430068
Author(s):
LI Yan-juan;  YE Hong
School of Civil Engineering and Architecture, Hubei University of Technology,Wuhan 430068, Hubei, China
关键词:
交通运输工程; 交通运输规划与管理; 收费公路; 总量控制; 区域间差异
Keywords:
traffic and transportation engineering;  planning and managing of transportation;  toll road;  restriction on total volume;  region difference
分类号:
F502
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
基于对收费公路总量控制的思考,选择GDP增长率、汽车保有量增长率和人口分布密度增 长率作为影响收费公路总量的因素,分别建立东、中、西部三大区域回归模型,得出收费公路总量规 模。通过相关分析发现:未来20年中国收费公路总体增长明显,2029年将达到收费公路总量最高 峰,但是增长幅度将明显减慢,其最终退出历史舞台还需要经历长期的历史发展过程。
Abstract:
This paper sets up toll road gross regression models in east China, middle China and west China and educes toll road gross with GDP increasing rate, car-possession increasing rate and population distributing consistency increasing rate, on the basis of gross control of toll road. This paper thinks that toll road mileage will increase obviously,but increasing range will be obvi- ously shower in 20 years and toll road mileage will reach the maximum in 2029. However, this will be a long time for toll road to drop out history stage.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2006-11-10
作者简介:李颜娟(1978-),女,浙江台州人,讲师,博士。
更新日期/Last Update: 2007-03-20