|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]陆宁,姜丽宁,俞允凯,等.西安市房地产市场景气指标筛选研究[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2007,9(03):57-60.
　LU Ning,JIANG Li-ning,YU Yun-kai,et al.On the prosperity index selection in real estate market in Xi'an[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2007,9(03):57-60.
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《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第9卷
期数:
2007年03期
页码:
57-60
栏目:
应用经济学
出版日期:
2007-09-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
On the prosperity index selection in real estate market in Xi'an
作者:
陆宁; 姜丽宁; 俞允凯; 黄永安; 李伟红
长安大学建筑工程学院,陕西西安　710061
Author(s):
LU Ning;  JIANG Li-ning;  YU Yun-kai;  HUANG Yong-an;  LI Wei-hong
School of Civil Engineering, Chang'an University, Xian 710061, Shaanxi, China
关键词:
西安市; 房地产; 景气指标; 主成分分析; 模糊聚类分析
Keywords:
Xian;  real estate;  prosperity index;  principal component analysis; fuzzy analysis
分类号:
F293.30
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为准确反映西安市房地产市场的总体运行趋势和波动状况,科学构建西安市房地产市场预 警指标体系,通过西安市房地产市场预警系统的建模、景气指数计算、景气状况分析、市场预警等后 续研究奠定基础,依据可行性和代表性原则,初步选取影响西安市房地产市场运行中的27个指标 作为原始预警指标体系,并针对每个指标选取1996～ 2003年的时间序列量,运用主成分分析与模 糊聚类分析相结合的方法对原始指标进行筛选,选定了15个主要指标,构建了西安市房地产市场 预警系统指标体系。分析表明:所确定的指标体系能够涵盖房地产市场的主要
Abstract:
In order to accurately show the present operation tendency and market fluctuation and reconstruct an early-warning index system of real estate market in Xian, this paper, through analysis of the present reconstruction of early-warning system and the prosperity situation, select 27 indices in the market as the practical and representative principles, which ranges from 1996 to 2003.Then, the principal component and the fuzzy analysis are combined to select the prosperity indices from the original system. On the basis of this selection, fifteen indices have been chosen to establish the early warning indices system of real estate market in Xian. The analysis indicates that the selected system can not only contain the most operation peculiarities of the real estate market, but also completely represent the original early-warning indices, which shows that the established early-warning system is complete and concise.

参考文献/References:

[1]　董　藩.房地产经济学概述[M].大连:东北财经大学 出版社,2001.
[2]　搜房研究院.中国房地产指数系统:理论与实践[M]. 北京:中国财政经济出版社,2001.
[3]　李微微,赵黎明.基于主成分分析的城市经营水平评价 [J].长安大学学报:社会科学版,2005,7(1):23-26.
[4]　陆　宁,张晓飞,史玉芳,黄永安.山西省营运客车营 运费用主成分分析[J].长安大学学报:社会科学版, 2005,7(3):1-4.
[5]　张运生,曾德明,张利飞.主成分分析法在企业绩效综 合评价中的改进[J].山西财经大学学报:社会科学 版,2004,26(4):80-85.
[6]　高惠璇.应用多元统计分析[M].北京:北京大学出版 社,2005.
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[8]　张　跃.模糊数学方法及其应用[M].北京:煤炭工业 出版社,1992.
[9]　李崇明,丁烈云.复杂系统评价指标的筛选方法[J]. 统计与决策,2004,20(9):8-9.
[10]　杨纶标,高英仪.模糊数学原理及应用[M].广州:华 南理工大学出版社,2001.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2006-12-23
基金项目:陕西省自然科学基础研究计划资助项目(2005E211)
作者简介:陆宁(1953-),男,河北乐亭人,教授。
更新日期/Last Update: 2007-09-20