|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]余淼杰,徐睿迪.俄罗斯入世以来经济治国方略的政治经济分析[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2022,24(05):10-22.
 YU Miaojie,XU Ruidi.Political and economic analysis of Russia’s economic ruling strategy since its accession to the WTO[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2022,24(05):10-22.
点击复制

俄罗斯入世以来经济治国方略的政治经济分析(PDF)
分享到:

《长安大学学报(社科版)》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第24卷
期数:
2022年05期
页码:
10-22
栏目:
国际经济与贸易
出版日期:
2022-11-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Political and economic analysis of Russia’s economic ruling strategy since its accession to the WTO
文章编号:
1671-6248(2022)05-0010-13
作者:
余淼杰徐睿迪
(北京大学 国家发展研究院/区域与国别研究院,北京 100871)
Author(s):
YU Miaojie XU Ruidi
(National School of Development & Institute of Area Studies, Peking University, Beijing 100871, China)
关键词:
俄罗斯 经济政策 国际政治经济学 社会联盟理论 要素禀赋 内外互动 俄乌危机
Keywords:
Russia economic policy international political economy social union theory factor endowment internal and external interaction Russia-Ukraine crisis
分类号:
F151; D851
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了更好地理解俄罗斯经济治国方略的内在逻辑,深化中俄合作,以俄罗斯加入世界贸易组织作为时间节点,对俄罗斯经济基本面和普京经济治国方略的重点方向进行系统分析,从“国际-国家-社会”三层次进行国际政治经济学视角的机制解释。研究认为,俄罗斯入世以来经济治国的方向主要是推动经济结构转型升级,减少对企业监管限制、促进消费和投资来增强市场活力,改善人口老龄化问题、提高居民生活水平; 从国际层面,入世使俄罗斯更加深入地融入了全球经济体系,但是开放贸易下资源型国家的要素禀赋优势挤占了其他经济部门发展资源,使得俄罗斯可能出现贫困化增长,调整过度依赖能源等原材料产品的经济结构转型迫在眉睫; 俄罗斯坚定地推动欧亚经济联盟,对外经济战略的制定体现了的国家自主性; 俄罗斯国内社会形成以了行业为基础的政治联盟,直接影响了具体经济议题上的政治决策,经贸政策既紧密团结独联体国家又实行“向东看”战略。
Abstract:
In order to better understand the internal logic of Russia’s economic ruling strategy, and deepen Chinese-Russian cooperation, this study takes Russia’s accession to the World Trade Organization(WTO)as an important time point, systematically analyzes the fundamentals of the Russian economy and the key directions of Putin’s economic ruling strategy, and provides an explanation of the mechanism from the three “international-national-society” dimensions in the international political economy perspective. According to the study, the main directions of Russia’s economic ruling since its accession to the WTO include promotion of economic structure transformation and upgrade, enhancement of market vitality by reducing regulatory restrictions on businesses, stimulating consumption and investment, mitigation of population aging, and improvement of living standards. At the international level, Russia’s accession to the WTO has made Russia more deeply integrated into the global economic system. However, the factor endowment advantage of resource-based countries under open trade has crowded out the development resources of other economic sectors, which may lead to impoverished growth in Russia, and it is imminent to adjust the economic structure transformation that is overly dependent on energy and other raw material products. Russia firmly promotes the Eurasian Economic Union, and the formulation of foreign economic strategies reflects national autonomy. At the domestic society level, Russia has formed an industry-based political alliance, which directly affects the political decision-making on specific economic issues. Its economic and trade policy not only closely unites the CIS countries but also implements the strategy of “Looking East”.

参考文献/References:

[1] 李建民.普京治下的俄罗斯经济:发展路径与趋势[J].俄罗斯研究,2019(6):3-30.
[2]张聪明.普京经济政策偏好及特点:基于国情咨文的考察[J].俄罗斯东欧中亚研究,2020(5):51-65,155.
[3]冯玉军.利益得失的权衡——俄罗斯利益集团对中俄经贸合作的影响[J].国际贸易,2003(9):13-16.
[4]关雪凌,张猛.普京政治经济学[M].北京:中国人民大学出版社,2015.
[5]刁秀华.俄罗斯产业结构调整与优化研究[M].北京:科学出版社,2016.
[6]曲文轶,杨雯晶.俄罗斯自贸伙伴的选择逻辑[J].俄罗斯研究,2021(6):115-139.
[7]陶林.转型时期俄罗斯利益集团形成演变的过程和特征[J].扬州大学学报(人文社会科学版),2016,20(6):14-21.
[8]ЛOΓBИHEHКO Д B.Политические технологии лоббирования во взаимодействии групп интересов с Российским государством[J].Общество:политика,экономика,право,2016(8):31-34.
[9]BYPEHКO B И,ШYMИДOB A B.Политический класс современной России в контексте инструментального подхода[J].PolitBook,2012(4):9-18.
[10]MAДEBA T M.Российский средний класс:вчера,сегодня,завтра[J].Уровень жизни населения регионов России,2008(11/12):94-98.
[11]Всемирный банк спрогнозировал падение российского ВВП на 8,9 процента[EB/OL].(2022-06-07)[2022-07-26].https://ria.ru/20220607/vvp-1793786179.html?ysclid=l50iskmhev468102239.
[12]GOMES-CASSERES B,YOFFIE D B.International trade and competition:cases and notes in strategy and management[M].2nd ed.New York:McGraw-Hill,1994.
[13]BHAGWATI J.In defense of globalization[M].New York:Oxford University Press,2007.
[14]彼得·林德特.国际经济学[M].9版.范国鹰,陆生军,陈捷,译.北京:经济科学出版社,1992.
[15]王如忠.贫困化增长:贸易条件变动中的疑问[M].上海:上海社会科学院出版社,1999.
[16]肯尼思·华尔兹.人、国家与战争:一种理论分析[M].2版.信强,译.上海:上海人民出版社,2019.
[17]GOUREVITCH P.The second image reversed:the international sources of domestic politics[J].International organization,1978,32(4):881-912.
[18]ROGOWSKI R.Commerce and coalitions:how trade affects domestic political alignments[M].Princeton:Princeton University Press,1989.
[19]HISCOX M J.Commerce,coalitions,and factor mobility:evidence from congressional votes on trade legislation[J].American political science association,2002,96(3):593-608.
[20]OLSON M.The rise and decline of nations:economic growth,stagflation,and social rigidities[M].New Haven:Yale University Press,1982.
[21]BHAGWATI J.In defense of globalization[M].New York:Oxford University Press,2007.
[22]Одобрение деятельности Владимира Путина[EB/OL].(2022-06-07)[2022-07-26].https://www.levada.ru/indikatory/ odobrenie-organov-vlasti/.
[23]曲文轶.经济因素、普京的政治支持及2018年大选[J].国际经济评论,2018(2):93-111.
[24]BYPEHКO B И.Группы интересов и лоббизм в политическом процессе(зарубежный опыт и российская практика)[J].Вестник университета,2012(4):5-10.
[25]冯玉军.俄罗斯经济的政治社会根源及国家发展前景[J].欧亚经济,2022(1):1-11,125.
[26]BOДКOB Д.Мадам де Помпадур в Москве.Опыт систематизации рисков для российской политики[EB/OL].(2021-09-30)[2022-07-26].https://carnegie.ru/publications/85439.
[27]BAШКATOBA A,POДИH И.В России не будет цивилизованного лоббизма.Чиновникам,депутатам и бизнесменам выгоднее продвигать собственные интересы,оставаясь в тени[EB/OL].(2009-12-16)[2022-07-26].https://intercom-audit.ru/smi/2009/12/16/bkr-smi_367.html.
[28]Глава “Северстали”:для развития бизнеса интересны Африка и Вьетнам[EB/OL].(2010-12-03)[2022-07-26].https://www.vesti.ru/finance/article/2037063.
[29]ИЛИНА B.Константин Бабкин:Экономика России нуждается в “трех с половиной поворотах”[EB/OL].(2016-11-30)[2022-07-26].https://www.nakanune.ru/articles/112383.
[30]ПABOЗ A B.Government Relations как институт социально-политического взаимодействия[J].Политическая экспертиза:ПОЛИТЭКС,2005(2):238-251.
[31]田野.对外经济政策的政治学——社会联盟理论解析[J].国际政治科学,2008(2):55-80,4.
[32]彼得·埃文斯,迪特里希·鲁施迈耶,西达·斯考克波.找回国家[M].方立维,莫宜端,黄琪轩,等,译.北京:生活·读书·新知三联书店,2009.

相似文献/References:

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2022-07-09
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重大项目(20ZDA050); 国家社会科学基金项目(21VMG006); 国家自然科学基金项目(72073005)
作者简介:余淼杰(1976-),男,广东饶平人,教授,博士研究生导师,经济学博士,北京大学博雅特聘教授,北京市卓越青年科学家。
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-11-30