|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]尹德洪.房地产救市可行性的经济学分析 ——兼评《关于促进房地产市场健康发展的若干意见》[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2010,12(01):51-55.
 YIN De-hong.Economic analysis for feasibility of properties bailouting ——discussion on Suggestions for Promoting Healthy Development of Properties Market[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2010,12(01):51-55.
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房地产救市可行性的经济学分析 ——兼评《关于促进房地产市场健康发展的若干意见》(PDF)
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《长安大学学报(社科版)》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第12卷
期数:
2010年01期
页码:
51-55
栏目:
应用经济学
出版日期:
2010-03-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Economic analysis for feasibility of properties bailouting ——discussion on Suggestions for Promoting Healthy Development of Properties Market
作者:
尹德洪
北京物资学院 经济学院,北京 101149
Author(s):
YIN De-hong
School of Economics, Beijing Wuzi University, Beijing 101149, China
关键词:
房地产市场 诺思悖论 最优政策的时间不一致性 经济学分析
Keywords:
properties market Nows paradox theory time inconsistency of the best policies economic analysis
分类号:
F293.30
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了研究地方政府在房价波动中所起的作用,采用经济学方法对地方政府的房地产救市动机进行分析。分析表明,诺思悖论的存在容易导致最优政策的时间不一致性问题的发生,使地方政府缺乏解决房地产市场所出现问题的真正动力,因此使中央政府颁布的《关于促进房地产市场健康发展的若干意见》所能产生的实际效果大打折扣。分析结果表明:要真正解决房地产市场存在的问题,必须借助规则、声誉、民意有效监督等措施制止地方政府的相机抉择行为的发生。
Abstract:
In order to find the functions of local government in the house price fluctuation, the paper analyzes the bailouting motivation of the local governments through economic method. The results in the analysis indicate that the Nows paradox theory may easily result in the occurrences the time inconsistency of the best policies and a lack of motivation to solve the problems in properties markets so that Suggestions for Promoting Healthy Development of Properties Market issued by the central goverment may have poor outcome in the implementation. Accordingly, the author believes that the best way to solve the problems in the properties market is to do a good job through regulations, reputation and effective supervision so as to stop the local governments from choosing other countermeasures against it.

参考文献/References:

[1] 北京市统计局,国家统计局北京调查总队.1~4月北京市房地产市场运行情况[EB/OL].(2009-05-15)
[2009-07-18].http://www.bjstats.gov.cn/sjjd/jjxs/200905/t20090515_146071.htm.
[2] 骆海涛.政府救楼市全国蔓延,已18个城市推出救市政策[N].南方日报,2008-10-16.
[3] 道格拉斯·C·诺思.经济史上的结构和变革[M].厉以平,译.北京:商务印书馆,2002.
[4] 尼古拉·阿克塞拉.经济政策原理:价值与技术[M].郭庆旺,刘 茜,译.北京:中国人民大学出版社,2001.
[5] 齐 骥.土地成本是影响房价一大主因[EB/OL].(2009-03-11)
[2009-08-01].http://www.cnstock.com/08index/2009-03/11/content_4128716.htm.
[6] 张传勇.解读两会房地产行业政策[J].城市开发,2008,28(3):46-48.
[7] 蒋娅娅,杨 群.经济回暖迹象是否稳固还有待观察[J].新华月报,2009,61(9):48-49.

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[1]刘洋,王秋玲.基于2007~2012年数据的南京市房地产发展趋势预测[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2014,16(03):47.
 LIU Yang,WANG Qiu-ling.Prediction on the trend of real estate development in Nanjing city in the future based on the data from 2007 to 2012[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2014,16(01):47.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2009-10-26 基金项目:北京物资学院青年科研基金项目(2008XJQN002); 北京物资学院产业经济学市级重点建设学科的项目(2008-2012) 作者简介:尹德洪(1968-),男,江苏连云港人,副教授,经济学博士。
更新日期/Last Update: 2010-03-20