|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]刘洋,王秋玲.基于2007～2012年数据的南京市房地产发展趋势预测[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2014,16(03):47-52.
　LIU Yang,WANG Qiu-ling.Prediction on the trend of real estate development in Nanjing city in the future based on the data from 2007 to 2012[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2014,16(03):47-52.
点击复制

基于2007～2012年数据的南京市房地产发展趋势预测(PDF)
分享到：

《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第16卷
期数:
2014年03期
页码:
47-52
栏目:
经济与管理
出版日期:
2014-10-08

文章信息/Info

Title:
Prediction on the trend of real estate development in Nanjing city in the future based on the data from 2007 to 2012
文章编号:
1671- 6248(2014)03-0047-06
作者:
刘洋; 王秋玲
长安大学经济与管理学院
Author(s):
LIU Yang;  WANG Qiu-ling
School of Economics and Management, Chang’an University, Xi’an 710064, Shaanxi, China
关键词:
城市经济; 房价; 房地产市场; 南京市
Keywords:
urban economy;  housing price;  real estate market;  Nanjing city
分类号:
F293.3
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
在简要分析南京市2007～2012年房屋建筑施工面积、住宅商品房销售面积、住宅商品房销售均价、房屋竣工面积的基础上，将社会经济发展的宏观指标与住宅商品房销售均价涨幅等进行对比，总结并分析了影响南京市房地产价格的8个关键指标：一致性指标2个、反向性指标3个、滞后性指标3个。在此基础上，对南京市未来5年的房地产价格走势进行了预测：南京市未来5年房地产价格将会呈现出3个阶段与特点，即快速上涨期、涨幅拐点期、涨幅稳定期。
Abstract:
On the basis of brief analysis of the construction area of buildings, sales area of residential commodity houses, average price of residential commodity houses in sale and area of floor space completed in Nanjing city from 2007 to 2012, the authors make a comparison between the macro goal of social economic development and the rise of the average price of residential commodity houses, and summarizes as well as analyzes the eight key indicators that influence real estate price in Nanjing, that is, two coincidence indicators, three backward indicators and three lagging indicators. On this basis, the article predicts the price trend of the real estate in Nanjing city in the next five years. The real estate price in Nanjing in the next five years will present three stages and features, namely, period of rapidly rising, period of inflection point and period of stable growth.

参考文献/References:

-

相似文献/References:

[1]常飞,范婷,岳智慧.基于灰色关联度的房价影响因素修正分析[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2015,17(04):59.
　CHANG Fei,FAN Ting,YUE Zhi-hui.Update analysis of factors affecting house price based on grey relational analysis[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2015,17(03):59.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
-
更新日期/Last Update: 2014-10-08