|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]王超,李一帆,顾永恒,等.中国内陆港建设对亚欧通道运输服务贸易脆弱性影响研究[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2022,(02):69-77.
 WANG Chao,LI Yi-fan,GU Yong-heng,et al.Study on the impact of China's inland port construction on the vulnerability of transport service trade in the Eurasian Corridor[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2022,(02):69-77.
点击复制

中国内陆港建设对亚欧通道运输服务贸易脆弱性影响研究(PDF)
分享到:

《长安大学学报(社科版)》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
期数:
2022年02期
页码:
69-77
栏目:
交通运输
出版日期:
2022-05-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Study on the impact of China's inland port construction on the vulnerability of transport service trade in the Eurasian Corridor
文章编号:
1671-6248(2022)02-0069-09
作者:
王超1李一帆1顾永恒1姚晓霞1常佳1丛晓男2
(1. 长安大学 经济与管理学院,陕西 西安 710064; 2. 中国社会科学院 生态文明研究所,北京 100710)
Author(s):
WANG Chao1 LI Yi-fan1 GU Yong-heng1 YAO Xiao-xia1 CHANG Jia1 CONG Xiao-nan2
(1. School of Economics and Management, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, Shaanxi,China; 2. Research Institute for Eco-civilization, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100710, China)
关键词:
内陆港 自贸区 运输服务贸易 显性竞争优势指数 贸易引力模型 亚欧通道 物流基础设施 物流产业国际化 “一带一路”倡议
Keywords:
inland port free trade area transport service trade Revealed Comparative Advantage Index trade gravity model Eurasian Corridor logistics infrastructure internationalization of logistics industry the Belt and Road Initiative
分类号:
F259; F511
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为研究“一带一路”倡议下中国内陆港建设对亚欧通道沿线不同经济发展水平国家“交通-经贸”的影响,推动沿线地区经济协同发展,选取亚欧通道沿线24个经济体的2010—2019年相关经济数据,基于拓展的贸易引力模型对影响沿线国家进出口贸易因素进行实证分析,并将研究样本按照发达国家和发展中国家进行分组回归,探讨中国内陆港建设对不同样本组的影响; 通过测算沿线国家显示性比较优势指数,分析各国运输服务贸易国际竞争力水平,并概括其脆弱性影响因素。研究认为,中国内陆港建设对亚欧通道沿线国家进出口贸易的影响显著为正,且分组回归结果有所不同,对发展中国家的影响系数显著大于发达国家; 亚欧通道沿线国家的显性竞争优势指数整体较高,运输业直接投资和物流基础设施建设成为影响各国运输服务贸易脆弱性的重要因素。研究还认为,中国内陆港建设与亚欧通道沿线国家间的进出口贸易呈现协同发展趋势,大多数亚欧通道沿线国家的运输服务贸易均呈现出较强的竞争力,中国内陆港建设对亚欧通道沿线发展中国家的进出口贸易影响程度大于发达国家。研究表明,需要发挥物流枢纽的规模经济效应,构建“海-陆”联动机制,创新“交通-经贸”发展模式,以“国家物流枢纽”建设为契机,以内陆港和自贸区建设为依托,推进内陆地区“物流、经贸、产业”深度融合,是培育中国国际竞争新优势的有效路径。
Abstract:
In order to study the impact of China's inland port construction on the “transport-economy and trade” of countries with different economic development levels along the Eurasian Corridor under the background of the Belt and Road Initiative and promote the coordinated economic development of regions along the Corridor, relevant economic data of 24 economies along the Eurasian Corridor from 2010 to 2019 were selected. Based on the expanded trade gravity model, this paper makes an empirical analysis of the factors affecting the import and export trade of the countries along the Belt and Road, and makes a grouped regression of the research samples according to the classification of developed countries and developing countries, and discusses the influence of China's inland port construction on different groups. By measuring the Revealed Comparative Advantage Index of countries along the Corridor, the international competitiveness level of transport service trade of countries is analyzed, and the influencing factors of vulnerability are summarized. The research shows that the impact of China's inland port construction on the import and export trade of countries along the Eurasian Corridor is significantly positive, and the grouped regression results are different, and the influence coefficient of developing countries is significantly greater than that of developed countries. The Revealed Comparative Advantage Index of countries along the Eurasian Corridor is generally higher, and the direct investment in transport industry and the construction of logistics infrastructure are important factors affecting the vulnerability of transport service trade of countries. The results show that: China's inland port construction and import and export trade between countries along the Eurasian Corridor presents the trend of coordinated development; the transport service trade of most of the countries along the Eurasian Corridor are showing strong competitiveness; the influence of China's inland port construction on the import and export trade of the developing countries along the Eurasian Corridor is greater than that on the developed countries. Therefore, we need to give full play to the effect of economies of scale of logistics hub, construct the “sea-land” linkage mechanism, optimize the “transport-economy and trade” development model in an innovative way, and promote the in-depth integration of “logistics, economy and trade and industry” in the inland region using the construction of “national logistics hub” as an opportunity based on the inland port and free trade area construction. That is an effective path of cultivating the new international competitive advantage of China.

参考文献/References:

[1] WANG C,ZHAO Y L,WANG Y J,et al.Transportation CO2 emission decoupling:an assessment of the Eurasian logistics corridor[EB/OL].(2020-09-15)[2021-12-08].https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1361920920306738.
[2]世界银行.1994年世界发展报告:为发展提供基础设施[M].北京:中国财政经济出版社,1994.
[3]BALOGH T.United nations conference on trade and development[M].Berlin:Springer Netherlands,2011.
[4]高炜,唐恬,王超,等.“双循环”格局下中国内陆物流经济国际化风险及应对策略[J].长安大学学报(社会科学版),2021,23(3):46-55.
[5]董千里.改革开放40年我国物流业高级化发展理论与实践[J].中国流通经济,2018,32(8):3-14.
[6]TINBERGEN J.Shaping the world economy:suggestions for an international economic policy[R].New York:The Twentieth Century Fund,1962.
[7]WANG C,KIM Y S,KIM C Y.Causality between logistics infrastructure and economicdevelopment in China[J].Transport policy,2021,100(C):49-58.
[8]王东方,董千里.中国城市物流发展空间结构演化及影响因素[J].北京交通大学学报(社会科学版),2019,18(4):125-139.
[9]伍佳妮,HAASIS H D.国际陆港网络化成长的理论基础与路径探索[J].城市发展研究,2017,24(10):111-116.
[10]李云华,董千里.中国陆港空间布局演化研究[J].技术经济与管理研究,2015(7):119-123.
[11]WANG C,KIM Y S,WANG C,KIM C Y.A study on the causal relationship betweenlogistics infrastructure and economic growth:empirical evidence in Korea[J].Journal ofKorea trade,2021,25(1):18-33.
[12]王超,向爱兵.中国内陆港建设对东北亚地区经贸发展的影响研究[J].宏观经济研究, 2021(8):99-106.
[13]魏海蕊,盛昭瀚.我国内陆省份参与海上丝绸之路的外向型特征与优化策略——基于无水港海港定向合作视角[J].国际贸易问题,2017(5):91-102.
[14]宣善文.中国运输服务贸易国际竞争力分析[J].经济问题,2019(2):109-115.
[15]孙少岩,王奕璇,王笑音.中国运输服务国际竞争力影响因素分析[J].社会科学战线,2020(11):240-244.
[16]LIMO N,VENABLES A J.Infrastructure,geographical disadvantage,transport costs,and trade[J].Social science electronic publishing,2001,15(3):1-41.
[17]王玲,刘维林,陈华倩,等.交通强国战略下我国运输服务贸易的网络地位评估与提升策略——基于全球价值链视角[J].软科学,2021,35(3):15-21.
[18]HALASZOVICH T F,ASEEM K.The impact of distance,national transportation systemsand logistics performance on FDI and international trade patterns:results from Asian globalvalue chains[J].Transport policy,2020(6):35-47.
[19]杨忠振,陈东旭,宫之光.产业转移下的海上丝绸之路沿线集装箱港口的投资决策研究[J].运筹与管理,2020,29(7):52-57.
[20]余淼杰,王吉明.全球服务贸易发展与中国面临的机遇和挑战[J].长安大学学报(社会科学版),2021,23(3):19-27.
[21]HUMMELS D.Transportation costs and international trade in the second era of globalization[J].Journal of economic perspectives,2007,21(3):131-154.
[22]包甜甜,连峰,杨忠振.航运管理研究综述[J].交通运输工程学报,2020,20(4):55-69.
[23]刘德智,邓晓雅.“丝绸之路经济带”沿线国家物流效率测量研究[J].长安大学学报(社会科学版),2020,22(1):9-18.
[24]许娇,陈坤铭,杨书菲,等.“一带一路”交通基础设施建设的国际经贸效应[J].亚太经济,2016(3):3-11.
[25]SANTOS T A,SOARES C G.Development dynamics of the Portuguese range as a multiportgateway system[J].Journal of transport geography,2017(60):178-188.
[26]王超,姚晓霞,顾永恒,等.“一带一路”交通经贸模式发展分析与对策建议[J].交通建设与管理,2021(5):40-41.

相似文献/References:

[1]任保平.“十四五”时期构建基于双循环新发展格局的政治经济学逻辑[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2021,23(01):2.
 REN Baoping.Political economic logic based on the dual circulation new development pattern established during the 14th Five-Year Plan period[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2021,23(02):2.
[2]刘丹.RCEP贸易机理及其对中国的影响[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2021,23(01):39.
 LIU Dan.RCEP trade mechanism and its impact on China[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2021,23(02):39.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2022-01-13
基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目(20BJY179)
作者简介:王超(1984-),男,山东威海人,副教授,博士研究生导师,经济学博士。
更新日期/Last Update: 2022-05-20