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《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:

第23卷

期数:

2021年06期

页码:

25-37

栏目:

国际经济与贸易

出版日期:

2021-12-30

文章信息/Info

Title:

Is provincial innovation capability of benefit to export resilience?——based on the panel data analysis of 31 provinces in China

文章编号:

1671-6248(2021)06-0025-13

作者:

陈瑾; 陈泽燕; 钱祎; 黄心仪

(广东外语外贸大学 经济贸易学院,广东 广州 510006)

Author(s):

CHEN Jin;  CHEN Zeyan;  QIAN Yi;  HUANG Xinyi

(School of Economics and Trade, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510006, Guangdong, China)

关键词:

出口韧性;  创新驱动;  固定效应模型;  稳定出口;  出口贸易;  经济韧性;  技术体系;  出口产品制造链

Keywords:

export resilience;  innovation-driven;  fixed effect model;  stable export;  export trade;  economic resilience;  technology system;  manufacturing chain of export products

分类号:

F124.3; F752.62

DOI:

-

文献标志码:

A

摘要:

在国际政治、地缘政治和国际公共安全卫生事件对出口产生冲击的背景下,采取何种政策措施来应对外部冲击、保持出口稳定增长成为政府和企业面临的重要问题。借鉴区域经济韧性的测度方法,基于首次提出的出口韧性测度指标,利用《中国海关进出口统计数据库》测度了1999—2016年中国31个省份(除中国香港、澳门、台湾外)的出口韧性,结合《中国统计年鉴》省份层面的宏观数据,运用固定效应模型,考察了省份创新能力、出口韧性之间的关系和产业内在出口韧性的来源、决定机制。研究发现,省份创新能力的提升有利于提高其出口韧性,省份创新能力对不同地区的省份出口韧性存在异质性影响,在金融危机这一负向外部冲击下,省份创新能力的提升对出口韧性的提高存在显著促进作用。研究表明,要通过深化科技体制改革,加大对新兴产业的税收优惠政策力度,加速出口产业整体向创新驱动发展的转型升级,完善出口产品研发创新链条,促进企业完善人才培养机制等方式来提高省份创新能力,提高出口韧性和稳定出口优势。

Abstract:

In the context of impact on export caused by the outbreak of various international political, geopolitical and international public security incidents, what policy measures should be taken to deal with the external impact and maintain the stable growth of export has become an arduous task faced by the government and enterprises. By referring to the measurement method of regional economic resilience, this paper proposes the measurement index of export resilience for the first time, uses the Import and Export Statistics Database of China Customs to measure the export resilience of 31 provinces in China from 1999 to 2016, and applies the fixed effect model combined with the macro data of provinces in China Statistical Yearbook to investigate the relationship between provincial innovation capability and export resilience as well as the origins and deciding mechanisms of the industry's internal export resilience. The results show that it is necessary to improve the innovation capability of provinces by deepening the reform of science and technology system, strengthening the tax preferential policies for emerging industries, accelerating the transformation and upgrade of the entire export industry to innovation-driven development, developing the R&D innovation links of export products, and promoting enterprises to improve the talent training mechanism, so as to improve export resilience and stabilize export advantages.

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相似文献/References:

[1]史亚洲.新质生产力视野下构建中国式现代化产业体系的逻辑和着力点[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2024,(01):1.
　SHI Yazhou.The logic and focus of building an industrial system in the Chinese path to modernization from the perspective of new quality productivity[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2024,(06):1.
[2]孙铭,高文洁.双循环视角下数字经济对出口韧性的影响研究[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2024,(05):52.
　SUN Ming,GAO Wenjie.Research on the impact of the digital economy on export resilience from the perspective of dual circulation[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2024,(06):52.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:

收稿日期:2021-09-25
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA039); 教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(21YJC790010); 广东省自然科学基金面上项目(2021A1515011452); 广东外语外贸大学人才引进项目(299-X5221016); 广东外语外贸大学科研项目(21QN18)
作者简介:陈瑾(1991-),女,江苏盐城人,讲师,经济学博士。

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更新日期/Last Update: 2021-12-30