|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]石勇民,张正明,肖亮.公路项目投资风险变权模糊综合评价[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2006,8(02):1-5.
　SHI Yong-min,ZHANG Zheng-ming,XIAO Liang.Fuzzy synthetic evaluation on variable weight of investment risk in road project[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2006,8(02):1-5.
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公路项目投资风险变权模糊综合评价 (PDF)
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《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第8卷
期数:
2006年02期
页码:
1-5
栏目:
交通运输与管理
出版日期:
2006-06-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Fuzzy synthetic evaluation on variable weight of investment risk in road project
作者:
石勇民; 张正明; 肖亮
长安大学公路学院,陕西西安　710064
Author(s):
SHI Yong-min;  ZHANG Zheng-ming;  XIAO Liang
School of Highway, Changan University, Xian 710064, Shaanxi, China
关键词:
公路建设; 投资风险; 模糊评价; 变权综合
Keywords:
road construction;  investment risk;  fuzzy evaluation;  variable synthesis
分类号:
F540. 31
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
影响公路建设项目投资风险的因素众多,现有的风险评价方法仅限于对风险指标进行局部 的、定性的评价,不能系统地量化风险指标体系、反映风险数量特征。基于系统评价的原理,确定风 险评价指标,建立风险评价体系,引入模糊一致矩阵计算基础权重,提出惩罚与激励相结合的局部 变权法计算变权重,并采用模糊层次分析法预测项目风险。实例验证了该方法的有效性和可行性。
Abstract:
There are lots of investment risks in road project,but the common method is to conduct qualitative and partial evaluation for the risks. On the principle of systematic evaluation, risk analysis system and risk index are set up, fuzzy consistent matrix is introduced to calculate basic weight, partial variable weight with the combination of penalty-incentive is put forward to calculate variable weight, and fuzzy-AHP method is adopted to analyze the investment risks in road project. The feasibility of the method is verified in the experiment and engineering.

参考文献/References:

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2005-12-22
作者简介:石勇民(1954-),女,河北定州人,教授。
更新日期/Last Update: 2006-06-20