|本期目录/Table of Contents|

[1]陈瑾,陈泽燕,钱祎,等.中国省份创新能力提升了出口韧性吗?——基于中国31个省份的面板数据分析[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2021,23(06):25-37.
 CHEN Jin,CHEN Zeyan,QIAN Yi,et al.Is provincial innovation capability of benefit to export resilience?——based on the panel data analysis of 31 provinces in China[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2021,23(06):25-37.
点击复制

中国省份创新能力提升了出口韧性吗?——基于中国31个省份的面板数据分析(PDF)
分享到:

《长安大学学报(社科版)》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第23卷
期数:
2021年06期
页码:
25-37
栏目:
国际经济与贸易
出版日期:
2021-12-30

文章信息/Info

Title:
Is provincial innovation capability of benefit to export resilience?——based on the panel data analysis of 31 provinces in China
文章编号:
1671-6248(2021)06-0025-13
作者:
陈瑾陈泽燕钱祎黄心仪
(广东外语外贸大学 经济贸易学院,广东 广州 510006)
Author(s):
CHEN Jin CHEN Zeyan QIAN Yi HUANG Xinyi
(School of Economics and Trade, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies,Guangzhou 510006, Guangdong, China)
关键词:
出口韧性 创新驱动 固定效应模型 稳定出口 出口贸易 经济韧性 技术体系 出口产品制造链
Keywords:
export resilience innovation-driven fixed effect model stable export export trade economic resilience technology system manufacturing chain of export products
分类号:
F124.3; F752.62
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
在国际政治、地缘政治和国际公共安全卫生事件对出口产生冲击的背景下,采取何种政策措施来应对外部冲击、保持出口稳定增长成为政府和企业面临的重要问题。借鉴区域经济韧性的测度方法,基于首次提出的出口韧性测度指标,利用《中国海关进出口统计数据库》测度了1999—2016年中国31个省份(除中国香港、澳门、台湾外)的出口韧性,结合《中国统计年鉴》省份层面的宏观数据,运用固定效应模型,考察了省份创新能力、出口韧性之间的关系和产业内在出口韧性的来源、决定机制。研究发现,省份创新能力的提升有利于提高其出口韧性,省份创新能力对不同地区的省份出口韧性存在异质性影响,在金融危机这一负向外部冲击下,省份创新能力的提升对出口韧性的提高存在显著促进作用。研究表明,要通过深化科技体制改革,加大对新兴产业的税收优惠政策力度,加速出口产业整体向创新驱动发展的转型升级,完善出口产品研发创新链条,促进企业完善人才培养机制等方式来提高省份创新能力,提高出口韧性和稳定出口优势。
Abstract:
In the context of impact on export caused by the outbreak of various international political, geopolitical and international public security incidents, what policy measures should be taken to deal with the external impact and maintain the stable growth of export has become an arduous task faced by the government and enterprises. By referring to the measurement method of regional economic resilience, this paper proposes the measurement index of export resilience for the first time, uses the Import and Export Statistics Database of China Customs to measure the export resilience of 31 provinces in China from 1999 to 2016, and applies the fixed effect model combined with the macro data of provinces in China Statistical Yearbook to investigate the relationship between provincial innovation capability and export resilience as well as the origins and deciding mechanisms of the industry's internal export resilience. The results show that it is necessary to improve the innovation capability of provinces by deepening the reform of science and technology system, strengthening the tax preferential policies for emerging industries, accelerating the transformation and upgrade of the entire export industry to innovation-driven development, developing the R&D innovation links of export products, and promoting enterprises to improve the talent training mechanism, so as to improve export resilience and stabilize export advantages.

参考文献/References:

[1] 贺灿飞,夏昕鸣,黎明.中国出口贸易韧性空间差异性研究[J].地理科学进展,2019(10):1558-1570.
[2]贺灿飞,陈韬.外部需求冲击、相关多样化与出口韧性[J].中国工业经济,2019(7):61-80.
[3]王世平,赵春燕.城市韧性与城市出口——基于中国地级市面板数据的实证分析[J].山西财经大学学报,2016(6):1-14.
[4]MARTIN R.Regional economic resilience,hysteresis and recessionary shocks[J].Journal of economic geography,2010,12(1):1-32.
[5]ROMER P M.Endogenous technological change[J].Journal of political economy,1990,98(5):71-102.
[6]ROMER P M.The origins of endogenous growth[J].Journal of economic perspectives,1994,8(1):3-22.
[7]任保平,巩羽浩.新发展格局构建中中国新经济发展的政策支持体系构建[J].湘潭大学学报(哲学社会科学版),2021(4):41-48.
[8]GROSSMAN G M,HELPMAN E.Trade,innovation,and growth[J].American economic review,1990,80(2):86-91.
[9]RIVERA-BATIZ L A,Romer P M.International trade with endogenous technological change[J].European economic review,1991,35(4):971-1001.
[10]BLOOM N,DRACA M,VAN R J.Trade induced technical change? the impact of Chinese imports on innovation,IT and productivity[J].Review of economic studies,2016,83(1):87-117.
[11]GREENHALGH C.Innovation and trade performance in the United Kingdom[J].Economic journal,1990,100(400):105-118.
[12]ATKESON A,Burstein A T.Innovation,firm dynamics,and international trade[J].Journal of political economy,2010,118(3):433-484.
[13]涂远芬,许统生.技术创新对中国出口产品竞争力影响的实证研究——基于协整分析[J].科技管理研究,2009(11):148-150.
[14]胡江辉.科技创新推动中国贸易结构转型[J].经济问题探索,2009(12):66-70.
[15]曲如晓,臧睿.自主创新、外国技术溢出与制造业出口产品质量升级[J].中国软科学,2019(5):18-30.
[16]连平,常冉.下半年中国出口韧性犹在[N].国际金融报,2021-08-23(3).
[17]金瑞庭.中国出口强韧性的“密码”是什么?[N].中国经济导报,2021-08-05(2).
[18]MARTINEZ-ZARZOSO I,SUAREZ-BURGUET C.The determinants of trade performance:influence of R&D on export flows[J].Applied economics,2000,32(15):1939-1946.
[19]MARTIN R,SUNLEY P,GARDINER B,et al.How regions react to recessions:resilience and the role of economic structure[J].Regional studies,2016,50(4):561-585.
[20]TREADO C D,GIARRATANI F.Intermediate steel-industry suppliers in the Pittsburgh region:a cluster-based analysis of regional economic resilience[J].Economic development quarterly,2008,22(1):63-75.
[21]曾冰.区域经济韧性内涵辨析与指标体系构建[J].区域金融研究,2020(7):74-78.
[22]陈奕玮,吴维库.产业集聚、技术溢出与城市经济韧性[J].统计与决策,2020(23):90-93.
[23]徐圆,邓胡艳.多样化、创新能力与城市经济韧性[J].经济学动态,2020(8):88-104.
[24]高善文.出口恢复提升经济韧性[J].清华金融评论,2017(11):59-60.
[25]姜帅帅,刘慧.危机冲击下全球价值链嵌入对企业出口韧性的“双刃剑”效应[J].国际商务,2021(1):1-17.
[26]马小淇.危机冲击下服务业GVC参与程度对制造业出口韧性的影响[J].对外经贸,2021(5):36-39.
[27]王世平,赵春燕.城市韧性与城市出口——基于中国地级市面板数据的实证分析[J].山西财经大学学报,2016(6):1-14.
[28]李平.提升全要素生产率的路径及影响因素——增长核算与前沿面分解视角的梳理分析[J].管理世界,2016(9):1-11.
[29]刘利.高科技产品进口、创新对生产效率的动态影响[J].统计与决策,2017(14):97-101.
[30]郭炳南.外商直接投资的技术外溢、自主创新能力与出口贸易结构——基于中国省级动态面板数据的经验考察[J].经济经纬,2010(2):34-38.
[31]罗丽英,齐月.技术创新效率对中国制造业出口产品质量升级的影响研究[J].国际经贸探索,2016(4):37-50.
[32]AGHION P,BERGEAUD A,LEQUIEN M,et al.The impact of exports on innovation:theory and evidence[R/OL].(2018-01-23)[2021-08-12].https://ideas.repec.org/p/bfr/banfra/678.html.
[33]朱小明,宋华盛.目的国需求、企业创新能力与出口质量[J].世界经济研究,2019(7):13-28.
[34]孙冰,林婷婷.中国高技术产业竞争力与技术创新的关系研究[J].中国科技论坛,2012(1):23-29.
[35]张小蒂,朱勤.论全球价值链中中国企业创新与市场势力构建的良性互动[J].中国工业经济,2007(5):30-38.
[36]白俊红.中国的政府R&D资助有效吗?来自大中型工业企业的经验证据[J].经济学(季刊),2011(4):224-249.
[37]HENDERSON R M,CLARK K B.Architectural innovation:the reconfiguration of existing product technologies and the failure of established firms[J].Administrative science quarterly,1990,35(1):9-30.

相似文献/References:

[1]史亚洲.新质生产力视野下构建中国式现代化产业体系的逻辑和着力点[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2024,(01):1.
 SHI Yazhou.The logic and focus of building an industrial system in the Chinese path to modernization from the perspective of new quality productivity[J].Journal of Chang'an University(Social Science Edition),2024,(06):1.

备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期:2021-09-25
基金项目:国家社会科学基金重大项目(18ZDA039); 教育部人文社会科学青年基金项目(21YJC790010); 广东省自然科学基金面上项目(2021A1515011452); 广东外语外贸大学人才引进项目(299-X5221016); 广东外语外贸大学科研项目(21QN18)
作者简介:陈瑾(1991-),女,江苏盐城人,讲师,经济学博士。
更新日期/Last Update: 2021-12-30