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《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:

期数:

2025年05期

页码:

74-85

栏目:

国际经济与贸易

出版日期:

2025-10-25

文章信息/Info

Title:

Study on the impact of digital economy development on China's export trade efficiency and potential

文章编号:

1671-6248(2025)05-0074-12

作者:

冯晓玲; 时梓玮; 王佳祺

(大连海事大学 航运经济与管理学院,辽宁 大连 116026)

Author(s):

FENG Xiaoling;  SHI Ziwei;  WANG Jiaqi

(School of Maritime Economics and Management, Dalian Maritime University, Dalian 116026, Liaoning,China)

关键词:

数字经济;  出口贸易;  贸易潜力模型;  “一带一路”;  数智化

Keywords:

digital economy;  export trade;  trade potential model;  “the Belt and Road”;  intelligent digital

分类号:

F752.62; F49

DOI:

-

文献标志码:

A

摘要:

为了探究数字经济发展与出口贸易效率和潜力之间的关系,基于2015—2023年中国29个省份的面板数据,利用熵值法测算中国数字经济的发展水平,使用随机前沿引力模型、贸易非效率模型和贸易潜力模型测算中国对“一带一路”共建国家的出口贸易效率和潜力,并实证分析数字经济发展对中国出口贸易效率和潜力的影响。研究发现,中国29个省份的数字经济发展水平由东部向中、西部呈逐渐递减趋势; 数字经济发展对中国向“一带一路”共建国家的出口贸易效率和潜力均具有显著促进作用; 数字经济发展对中国东部地区出口贸易潜力具有促进作用,对中、西部地区出口贸易潜力具有抑制作用。研究表明,中国应构建绿色数字基建体系,强化区域协同能力; 深化数贸融合实践,创新“数字丝路”发展范式; 构筑数智化开放生态,应对全球竞争新格局。

Abstract:

In order to explore the relationship between digital economy development and export trade efficiency and potential, this study utilizes panel data from 29 Chinese provinces from 2015 to 2023. The entropy method is employed to measure the development level of China's digital economy, while the stochastic frontier gravity model, trade inefficiency model, and trade potential model are used to measure the efficiency and potential of China's export trade to “the Belt and Road” partner countries. An empirical analysis is conducted to examine the impact of digital economy development on China's export trade efficiency and potential. The findings reveal that the development level of the digital economy in China's 29 provinces gradually decreases from the eastern region to the central and western regions. Digital economy development significantly promotes both the efficiency and potential of China's export trade to “the Belt and Road” partner countries. However, while digital economy development enhances export trade potential in China's eastern region, it inhibits export trade potential in the central and western regions. The study suggests that China should establish a green digital infrastructure system and strengthen regional synergy capabilities; deepen the integration of digital technologies and trade practices to innovate the development paradigm of the “Digital Silk Road”; and build an intelligent digital open ecosystem to respond to the new global competitive landscape.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:

收稿日期:2025-05-10
基金项目:国家社会科学基金项目(25BGJ046)
作者简介:冯晓玲(1978-),女,吉林通化人,教授,博士研究生导师,经济学博士。

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更新日期/Last Update: 2025-10-25