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[1]孙铭,高文洁.双循环视角下数字经济对出口韧性的影响研究[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2024,(05):52-68.
　SUN Ming,GAO Wenjie.Research on the impact of the digital economy on export resilience from the perspective of dual circulation[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2024,(05):52-68.
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《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
期数:
2024年05期
页码:
52-68
栏目:
国际经济与贸易
出版日期:
2024-11-20

文章信息/Info

Title:
Research on the impact of the digital economy on export resilience from the perspective of dual circulation
文章编号:
1671-6248(2024)05-0052-17
作者:
孙铭; 高文洁
（长安大学 经济与管理学院，陕西 西安710064）
Author(s):
SUN Ming;  GAO Wenjie
(School of Economics and Management, Changan University, Xian 710064, Shaanxi, China)
关键词:
数字经济; 出口韧性; K-means聚类; 国内大循环; 双循环; 实体经济
Keywords:
digital economy;  export resilience;  K-means clustering;  internal circulation;  dual circulation;  real economy
分类号:
F746.12
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
为了研究数字经济发展对地区出口韧性的作用与路径，利用2009—2019 年中国31个省份（港澳台地区由于数据收集的局限性而除外）数据进行实证检验；构建中国省域数字经济指 标体系，采用熵值法测算各省份数字经济发展水平；基于K-means聚类算法揭示31个省份的出口韧性水平差异；借助双向固定效应模型，考察数字经济发展对地 区出口韧性的影响及其机制；通过构造工具变量、加入更多控制变量、替换数字经 济与出口韧性测度方式以及缩尾处理等进行稳健性检验。研究发现，发展数字经济 显著提高了地区出口韧性，数字载体与数字产业对出口韧性均有显著提升效应；生产 规模效应、流通连接效应和本地市场效应是数字经济通过国内大循环促进地区出口 韧性的渠道；数字经济的出口韧性提升效应体现出“雪中送炭”的普惠包容性，即 在内陆、出口韧性非稳健、实体经济水平较低和市场分割度较高地区更明显。研究 表明，应充分发挥数字经济的出口韧性提升效应，大力推进数字经济建设；全方面 促进生产、流通和消费，畅通国内大循环；促进出口韧性的区域协调发展；注重数 字经济与实体经济的融合发展。
Abstract:
To explore the role and impact pathways of digital economy development in enhancing regional export resilience, this study conducted an empirical analysis using data from 31 provinces in China from 2009 to 2019 (excluding Hong Kong, Macao, and Taiwan due to data collection limitations). A provincial digital economy indicator system was constructed, and the entropy method was applied to measure and calculate the digital economy development level across provinces. The K-means clustering algorithm was employed to reveal disparities in export resilience among the provinces, while a two-way fixed effects model was adopted to examine the impact and mechanisms of the digital economy development on regional export resilience. Robustness tests were conducted through instrumental variable construction, inclusion of additional control variables, alternative measurement methods for the digital economy and export resilience, and tailing treatment. The findings reveal that developing digital economy significantly enhances regional export resilience, and both digital carriers and digital industries play a substantial role in this improvement. The study identifies three key mechanisms through which the digital economy promotes regional export resilience via the internal circulation: the production scale effect, the circulation connection effect, and the local market effect. Furthermore, the study highlights the much-needed inclusiveness of the digital economys resilience-enhancing effect, notably in inland areas with weaker export resilience, underdeveloped real economies, and higher market segmentation. Policy recommendations include maximizing the resilience-enhancing effects of the digital economy while accelerating its development, fostering comprehensive production, circulation, and consumption integration, and optimizing the internal circulation, promoting regional coordination to strengthen export resilience, and deepening the integrated development of the digital and real economies.

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备注/Memo

备注/Memo:
收稿日期：2024-04-15
基金项目：陕西省社会科学联合会重点智库研究项目(2023ZD1118);中央高校基本科研业务费资助项目(300102232201)
作者简介：孙铭(1981-)，女，黑龙江双鸭山人，副教授，经济学博士。
更新日期/Last Update: 2024-11-20