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[1]余淼杰,祝辉煌,高恺琳,等.美国议员对华贸易态度的现状与展望[J].长安大学学报(社科版),2018,20(06):12-26.
　YU Miaojie,ZHU Huihuang,GAO Kailin,et al.Status and outlook of U.S. congressional representatives’ attitude towards trade with China[J].Journal of Chang＇an University(Social Science Edition),2018,20(06):12-26.
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美国议员对华贸易态度的现状与展望()
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《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

卷:
第20卷
期数:
2018年06期
页码:
12-26
栏目:
国际经济与贸易
出版日期:
2018-11-22

文章信息/Info

Title:
Status and outlook of U.S. congressional representatives’ attitude towards trade with China
作者:
余淼杰; 祝辉煌; 高恺琳; 徐竹西
北京大学 国家发展研究院中国经济研究中心， 北京 100871
Author(s):
YU Miaojie;  ZHU Huihuang;  GAO Kailin;  XU Zhuxi
China Center for Economic Research & National School of Development,Peking University, Beijing 100871,China
关键词:
政治经济学; 支持自由贸易倾向指数; 参议员; 中美贸易; 政治态度
Keywords:
political economy; index of the tendency to support trade liberalization; senator; SinoUS trade; political attitude
分类号:
F741.2
DOI:
-
文献标志码:
A
摘要:
2018年初至今，由美国政府挑起的中美贸易摩擦已进入白热化状态。在此情形下，为了更好地了解美国政府对相关议题的态度，从政府、国会、议员及各特别委员会对其进行分析，对美国参议院两党核心议员、与中美贸易相关的委员会成员和其他委员会主席的投票历史进行了详细梳理，以各参议员在“自由贸易协定”相关谈判中的表决情况为基础，结合其在中美相关议题的表决情况，整理编写了参议员支持自由贸易倾向指数。具体而言，支持自由贸易倾向指数以50%为基础，高于50%表示该议员倾向于支持自由贸易，小于50%表示该议员倾向于反对自由贸易。分析认为，不论是参议院两党核心议员，还是各委员会成员，共和党议员均表现出支持贸易自由化的倾向；相反，民主党议员态度则较为复杂，总体来看倾向于反对自由贸易，甚至少数议员表现出极端反对自由贸易的倾向。结果表明，未来我们应该主动把握机会，积极与共和党议员接触，增进中美两国政治互信，提升高层交往，最终促进中美贸易继续向前发展。
Abstract:
Since the beginning of 2018，ChinaUS trade frictions provoked by the U.S. government has reached an unprecedented level. In order to understand the attitude of the U.S. government towards the relevant topic，we have to analyzed the government，Congress， congressmen and other special committees. This paper catalogs the voting history of bipartisan core members of the Senate，ChinaUS trade issue related committees members，and chairmen of all other committees. Based on their attitude in the negotiations of free trade agreement，and also taking their attitude towards China related issues into account，this paper constructs the index of their tendency to support trade liberalization. The index of the tendency to support trade liberalization is unbiased if it is equal to 50%. An index higher than 50% represents a tendency to support trade liberalization，and vice versa. Our results demonstrate that from the senate leaderships to the chairmen of all committees，Republican senators have shown a tendency to support trade liberalization. On the contrary，the attitude of the Democratic Party members is more complicated. Most of them tend to oppose trade liberalization. A few of them even showed a tendency to be extremely against trade liberalization. Our results indicate that to increase the communication between the Chinese central government and U.S. government，we should seize the opportunity to keep in contact with the Republican senators，and enhance mutual political trust between China and the U.S.，especially contact between high levels，thus to promote the development of the trade between China and the United States.

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更新日期/Last Update: 2019-02-25