|Table of Contents|

Potential, risks and coping measures of China's exports to countries along the “Belt and Road”(PDF)

《长安大学学报(社科版)》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

Issue:
2022年06期
Page:
61-70
Research Field:
国际经济与贸易
Publishing date:
2022-12-20

Info

Title:
Potential, risks and coping measures of China's exports to countries along the “Belt and Road”
Author(s):
FU Dahai1 HUANG Haixuan1 ZHANG Ying2
(1. School of International Trade and Economics, Central University of Finance and Economics, Beijing 100081, China; 2. Institute of Economics, Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, Beijing 100081, China)
Keywords:
the “Belt and Road” initiative export potential export risk digital infrastructure cross-border e-commerce electronic device
PACS:
F125
DOI:
-
Abstract:
The countries along the “Belt and Road” are the key locations to promote the high-quality development of China's foreign trade. Using the export potential map database developed by the United Nations International Trade Center(ITC), this paper studies the scale and structure of China's export potential to countries along the “Belt and Road”. According to the study, China's overall export potential to countries along the “Belt and Road” is tremendous, but it presents prominent characteristics of uneven distribution of regions, countries and product structures. China has the largest export potential to Southeast Asian countries, and the countries with the highest export potential are relatively concentrated. Electronic and electrical devices are the products with the highest export potential. China's exports to countries along the “Belt and Road” face numerous risks in aspects such as geopolitics, exchange rates, business compliance, logistics and laws. Governments at all levels, trade promotion agencies and foreign trade companies need to accurately identify China's export opportunities to countries along the “Belt and Road” at the national and product levels, establish a credit certification system for economic and trade companies and an early warning system for overseas markets, invest in infrastructure to promote the application of digital technology and big data, and build a trade information sharing service platform to safeguard export interests.

References:

[1] 王辉耀.“一带一路”是构建人类命运共同体的具体实践[N].光明日报,2021-11-21(8).
[2]黄群慧.“一带一路”沿线国家工业化进程报告[M].北京:社会科学文献出版社,2015.
[3]李晓钟,吕培培.我国装备制造产品出口贸易潜力及贸易效率研究——基于“一带一路”国家的实证研究[J].国际贸易问题,2019(1):80-92.
[4]程云洁,董程慧.中国与“一带一路”沿线国家工业制成品出口贸易效率及潜力研究[J].统计与决策,2019,35(17):129-134.
[5]曹安,汪晶晶,黄如梦.中国与“一带一路”沿线国家农产品出口贸易效率及潜力测算[J].统计与决策,2018,34(10):113-117.
[6]廖明中.我国对一带一路沿线国家商品出口潜力测算[J].开放导报,2015(3):64-67.
[7]汤春玲,邵敬岚,李若昕,等.中国对“一带一路”沿线国家货物出口贸易潜力[J].经济地理,2018,38(9):30-37.
[8]DECREUX Y,JULIA S.Export potential assessments:a methodology to identify export opportunities for developing countries[EB/OL].(2016-12-01)[2022-10-11].https://umbraco.exportpotential.intracen.org/media/1089/epa-methodology_141216.pdf.
[9]张艳国,刘健伟,洪高浩.全球宽松周期切换的风险分析——以“一带一路”共建国家为对象[J].开发性金融研究,2021(3):11-18.
[10]蓝庆新,梁伟,唐琬.绿色“一带一路”建设现状、问题及对策[J].国际贸易,2020(3):90-96.
[11]GOPINATH G.A disrupted global recovery[EB/OL].(2022-01-25)[2022-09-01].https://www.imf.org/en/Blogs/Articles/2022/01/25/blog-a-disrupted-global-recovery.

Memo

Memo:
-
Last Update: 2022-12-20