Analysis of economic integration and city association in pearl river delta urban agglomeration in the background of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area(PDF)
《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]
- Issue:
- 2020年01期
- Page:
- 58-69
- Research Field:
- 区域经济
- Publishing date:
Info
- Title:
- Analysis of economic integration and city association in pearl river delta urban agglomeration in the background of Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area
- Author(s):
- CHEN Gang1; WEI Xiaohui 2
- 1. Postdoctoral Station, Guangzhou Academy of School Sciences, Guangzhou 510410, Guangdong, China;2 Research Center for International Trade and Economics, Guangdong University of Foreign Studies, Guangzhou 510006, Guangdong, China
- Keywords:
- Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration; economic integration; gravity model; economic cooperation potential; urban agglomeration; Guangdong-HongKong-Macao Greater Bay Area
- PACS:
- F127.9
- DOI:
- -
- Abstract:
- To study the degree and changes of economic links among urban areas in the Pearl River Delta in the background of GuangdongHong KongMacao Greater Bay Area, and explore the roles of Guangzhou and Shenzhen, the two major central cities, in the development of the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration, this paper selects the relevant economic data of the nine major cities in the Pearl River Delta from 2000 to 2016, on one hand, using KLD divergence from the three aspects of GDP, labor and capital to measure the degree of economic integration of the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration; on other hand, combining gravity model, ADF unit root test, the Johansen cointegration test and the Granger causality analysis method to provide an empirical analysis of the economic correlation between the economies within the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration. The results show that: First, the degree of economic integration of the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration shows a twostage development characteristics, which gradually strengthened before 2013, but then continued to weaken. Second, the degree of labor and capital integration is much higher than GDP integration. The degree of economic development imbalance has a great impact on the degree of economic integration of the Pearl River Delta urban agglomeration. Third, the siphon effect of Guangzhou’s economic development is obvious, Shenzhen’s economic development is more independent, and the two major central cities need to be strengthened to drive the economic development of other economies within the urban agglomeration. Furthermore, this paper puts forward four suggestions. Firstly, Guangzhou should continue to give full play to the advantages of service and education industry, and actively seek for a mutually beneficial and winwin communication model between cities with greater potential for economic cooperation. Secondly, Shenzhen should actively explore the possibility of cooperation with other areas of complementary supply and demand industries. Thirdly, to mobilize urban portfolios with high economic potential but no twoway causality or any economic development link, and explore ways of cooperation suitable for each other’s economic development. Fourthly, to actively promote the construction of GuangdongHong KongMacao Greater Bay Area, strengthen the scope of resource allocation in the Pearl River Delta, actively explore opportunities for cooperation with Hong Kong and Macao, and realize the interactive development of industry in the Bay Area.
Last Update: 2020-03-26