Dalance between supply and demand of long-term care services in China(PDF)
《长安大学学报（社科版）》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]
- Issue:
- 2018年03期
- Page:
- 76-84
- Research Field:
- 社会学
- Publishing date:
Info
- Title:
- Dalance between supply and demand of long-term care services in China
- Author(s):
- HU Yao-ling; ZHANG Miao-miao
- School of Economics,Hebei University,Baoding 071002,Hebei,China
- Keywords:
- Disabled elderly; Longterm care; Balance between supply and demand
- PACS:
- 66
- DOI:
- -
- Abstract:
- In the context of rapid ageing,chronic complications makes disability elderly increase rapidly.In the meantime,there is a shortage of professionals engaged in longterm care pension services,the elderly longterm care problem will also increasingly prominent.Age shift algorithm is applied to forecast the scale and structure of future elderly population,which is based to calculate the disability elderly population changes and get the national longterm care future pension service demand.The results show that the number of elderly people in China will increase from 6.52 million to 16.43 million in 20162050,with an average annual increase of 292 thousand.If professional institutions are adopted for longterm care,the number of longterm care providers will reach to 1.5 million in 2050.In the process of declining workingage population,a large increase in the allocation of pension service personnel will bring severe challenges to the future labor supply and restrict economic growth to some extent.In view of the imbalance between supply and demand of longterm care services,it is necessary to take the following four measures:The first is to socialize the longterm care service and reflect the scale effect of longterm care service.The second is to improve the quality of service personnel and effectively improve the efficiency of longterm care service.The third is to encourage young people to engage in longterm care services and effectively expand the channels for oldage care services.The fourth is to strengthen the capacity building of community health services and reduce the demand for longterm care services fundamentally,and then to realize the dynamic balance between supply and demand of longterm care services.
Last Update: 2018-09-03