«Previous Article|Table of Contents|Next Article»

¡¶³¤°²´óѧѧ±¨£¨Éç¿Æ°æ£©¡·[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

Issue:

2024Äê05ÆÚ

Page:

101-114

Research Field:

½»Í¨ÔËÊä

Publishing date:

2024-11-20

Info

Title:

Impact of autonomous driving technology on the labor market and coping strategies

Author(s):

ZHAO Kexiang;  GAO Ge

(School of Economics, Henan University of Economics and Law, Zhengzhou 450016, Henan, China)

Keywords:

autonomous driving technology;  labor market;  technological impact;  real business cycle theory;  intelligent transportation

PACS:

U463.6£»F241.2

DOI:

-

Abstract:

As autonomous driving technology continues to evolve and upgrade, its impact on the labor market has grown more pronounced, profoundly reshaping employment structures. The labor market faces significant risks of structural unemployment, particularly among low-skilled driving positions that are highly susceptible to substitution. Simultaneously, emerging technological fields are generating new employment opportunities while placing higher demands on workers¬ð skillsets. This paper uses literature analysis, comparisons of historical transportation reform cases, and the real business cycle theory to examine the short-term fluctuations and long-term growth effects of technological advancements on the economy. It highlights the substitution effect of autonomous driving technology on traditional jobs, the creation of new roles in emerging sectors, and its contribution to productivity enhancements. The findings indicate that autonomous driving technology will substantially reduce demand for traditional driver roles, leading to structural unemployment and downward pressure on wage levels. Conversely, it promotes the creation of high-skilled jobs and new opportunities in areas such as high-precision mapping and intelligent transportation systems. These developments enhance overall transportation efficiency and unlock greater economic growth potential. However, the pace of technological reform exceeds the ability of many workers to quickly acquire the necessary skills, intensifying short-term pressures on the labor market. The study underscores the need for policy interventions and workforce retraining to mitigate the impact from autonomous driving technology. Flexible labor market policies should be designed to facilitate job matching and skills development. Additionally, improvements to the social security system and the establishment of relevant legal frameworks are essential. By fostering an efficient employment ecosystem, these measures can ensure that technological progress delivers long-term benefits for economic growth and social well-being.

References:

£Û1£ÝBRYNJOLFSSON E,MCAFEE A.The second machine age:work,progress,and prosperity in a time of brilliant technologies£ÛM£Ý.New York:W W Norton & Company,2014.
£Û2£ÝFREY C B,OSBORNE M A.The future of employment:how susceptible are jobs to computerisation£ÛJ£Ý.Technological forecasting and social change,2017,114:254-280.
£Û3£ÝBIMBRAW K.Autonomous cars:past,present and future¡ªa review of the developments in the last century,the present scenario and the expected future of autonomous vehicle technology£ÛC£Ý.Collette:2015 12th international conference on informatics in control,automation and robotics (ICINCO),2015.
£Û4£ÝÀî²ý,ÒÁ»Ý·¼,Îâºì,µÈ.ÎÞÈ˼ÝÊ»Æû³µ×¨Àû¼¼ÊõÖ÷Ìâ·ÖÎö¡ª¡ª»ùÓÚWI-LDAÖ÷ÌâÄ£ÐÍ£ÛJ£Ý.Ç鱨ÔÓÖ¾,2018(12):50-55,42.
£Û5£ÝANDERSON J M,KALRA N,STANLEY K D,et al.Autonomous vehicle technology:a guide for policymakers£ÛM£Ý.Santa Monica:RAND Corporation,2014.
£Û6£ÝKOOPMAN P,WAGNER M.Autonomous vehicle safety:an interdisciplinary challenge£ÛJ£Ý.IEEE intelligent transportation systems magazine,2017(1):90-96.
£Û7£ÝPAYRE W,CESTAC J,DELHOMME P.Intention to use a fully automated car:attitudes and a priori acceptability£ÛJ£Ý.Transportation research part F:traffic psychology and behaviour,2014,27:252-263.
£Û8£Ýñ¼Ü°æÂ.ÎÞÈ˼ÝÊ»Æû³µµÄ·¨ÂɹæÖÆģʽ¼°ÆäÁ¢·¨ÍêÉÆÑо¿£ÛD£Ý.¹ãÖÝ:¹ãÖÝ´óѧ,2021.
£Û9£ÝFREY C B,OSBORNE M A,HOLMES C.Technology at work v4.0:navigating the future of work£ÛR£Ý.New York:Global perspectives & solutions,2019.
£Û10£ÝARNTZ M,GREGORY T,ZIERAHN U.The risk of automation for jobs in OECD Countries:a comparative analysis£ÛR£Ý.Paris:OECD social,employment and migration working papers,2016.
£Û11£ÝMANYIKA J,CHUI M,MIREMADI M,et al.A future that works:automation,employment,and productivity£ÛR£Ý.San Francisco:McKinsey Global Institute,2017.
£Û12£ÝERNST,YOUNG.How will autonomous vehicles impact jobs in the automotive industry£ÛR£Ý.London:Ernst & Young,2022.
£Û13£Ý³Ì³Ðƺ,Åí»¶.È˹¤ÖÇÄÜÓ°Ïì¾ÍÒµµÄ»úÀí¼°Öйú¶Ô²ß£ÛJ£Ý.ÖйúÈí¿Æѧ,2018(10):62-70.
£Û14£ÝÍõÑô,Àîˬ,Õű¾²¨,µÈ.µÚËĴι¤Òµ¸ïÃü¶Ô¾ÍÒµµÄÌôÕ½Ó뽨Òé£ÛJ£Ý.¾­¼Ã×ݺá,2017(11):64-71.
£Û15£ÝBLOOMBERG NEF.The future of jobs in an era of automation and artificial intelligence£ÛR£Ý.London:Bloomberg NEF,2023.
£Û16£ÝACEMOGLU D,RESTREPO P.Robots and jobs:evidence from US labor markets£ÛR£Ý.Cambridge:NBER Working Paper,2017.
£Û17£ÝACEMOGLU D,RESTREPO P.Artificial intelligence,automation,and work£ÛR£Ý.Cambridge:NBER Working Paper,2018.
£Û18£ÝLUND S,MADGAVKAR A,MANYIKA J,et al.The future of work after COVID-19£ÛR£Ý.San Francisco:McKinsey Global Institute,2021.
£Û19£ÝACEMOGLU D,RESTREPO P.Robots and jobs:evidence from US labor markets£ÛJ£Ý.Journal of political economy,2020(6):2188-2244.
£Û20£ÝCHANDLER A D.The visible hand:the managerial revolution in American business£ÛM£Ý.Cambridge:Harvard University Press,1977.
£Û21£ÝBERGER M L.The automobile in American history and culture:a reference guide£ÛM£Ý.Westport:Greenwood Press,2001.
£Û22£ÝWOMACK J P,JONES D T,ROOS D.The machine that changed the world£ÛM£Ý.New York:Free Press,1990.
£Û23£ÝSCHIVEBUSCH W.The railway journey:the industrialization of time and space in the 19th Century£ÛM£Ý.Berkeley:University of California Press,1986.
£Û24£ÝFRIEDMAN T L.The world is flat:a brief history of the Twenty First Century£ÛM£Ý.New York:Farrar,Straus and Giroux,2005.
£Û25£ÝGOURVISH T.The official history of Britain and the channel tunnel£ÛM£Ý.London:Routledge,2006.
£Û26£ÝÕÅÑ«,ÍõÐñ,Íò¹ã»ª,µÈ.½»Í¨»ù´¡ÉèÊ©´Ù½ø¾­¼ÃÔö³¤µÄÒ»¸ö×ۺϿò¼Ü£ÛJ£Ý.¾­¼ÃÑо¿,2018(1):50-64.

Memo

Memo:

-

Common functions

Last Update: 2024-11-20