|Table of Contents|

Grey prediction for right of price transference of toll road(PDF)

《长安大学学报(社科版)》[ISSN:1671-6248/CN:61-1391/C]

Issue:
2009年01期
Page:
46-49
Research Field:
交通运输
Publishing date:
2009-03-20

Info

Title:
Grey prediction for right of price transference of toll road
Author(s):
ZHOU Kai XU Hai-cheng ZHANG Ling
School of Economics and Management, Chang'an University, Xi'an 710064, Shaanxi, China
Keywords:
model of grey prediction toll road management right price transference present earning value method
PACS:
F540.34
DOI:
-
Abstract:
When the present earning value method is used to analyze the right of price transference of toll road, it is found that the net cash flow and grey prediction often affect the accuracy of evaluation results and they are of small samples and lack information. Empirical analysis through grey prediction GM(1,1)shows that the GM(1,1)model used in the present earning value method for evaluating the price transference is quite accurate and it is also proved that the GM(1,1)model is more suitable for predicting the price transference of toll road management right than the traditional statistical models.

References:

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Memo

Memo:
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Last Update: 2009-03-20